DevRam

Iron Condor #1: The Stop That Wasn't There

A candlestick chart on a dark trading screen
Photo by Maxim Hopman on Unsplash

Iron Condor #1: The Stop That Wasn't There

First Sensex weekly condor. It lost ₹2,400, which is survivable. What is not survivable, repeated, is how it lost ₹2,400 — at 2.4x the stop I had defined three days earlier.

The system worked exactly as designed right up to the point where I needed it most, and then it turned out I had never actually built the part that mattered.

The setup

Monday, 06-07-2026, 09:45. Sensex weekly expiring Thursday 09-07-2026. Spot was around 78,200, so the 700-point rule put the short strikes at 77,500 and 78,900, with 300-point wings on each side.

The legs

Leg Strike Action Price
Put 77,500 PE Sell 141.40
Put 77,200 PE Buy 87.70
Call 78,900 CE Sell 108.10
Call 79,200 CE Buy 61.55

One lot each.

The numbers

Breakevens sit at 77,399.75 on the downside and 79,000.25 on the upside. Sensex could move roughly 800 points in either direction over four sessions and I would still be flat or better. That is a wide-looking band, and "wide-looking" is exactly the feeling that gets short-premium traders killed.

Worth being precise about the risk, because I was not, at the time. If one wing gets fully breached, the loss is (300 − 100.25) × 20 = ₹3,995. The payoff graph on the terminal showed roughly ₹2,000 of profit against about ₹2,400 of loss over the range it was displaying — but the structural worst case on this trade was ₹3,995, nearly double the credit. I collected ₹2,005 to risk ₹3,995. That is the trade. It only works if I get out long before the wing is anywhere near breached.

Which is what the stop is for.

Per the rule: payoff showed ~₹2,000 max profit → target ₹1,000, stop ₹1,000. Symmetric. Time stop at 2:00 p.m. Thursday.

Tuesday: 84% of the way there

By 07-07-2026 the position was showing +₹843.

That is 84% of a ₹1,000 target. Theta was doing its job, Sensex had gone nowhere, and I sat on my hands because the rule says ₹1,000, not ₹843.

I want to be careful here, because there is a version of this post where I beat myself up for not booking ₹843 and "saving" myself the loss. That version is wrong. Taking profit early because you have a bad feeling is not a system, it is a coin flip with extra steps. If I override the target the moment it feels comfortable, I have no target. The rule was right. I would leave that ₹843 on the table again.

The mistake was somewhere else entirely.

Wednesday: the exit

08-07-2026. Trump's overnight shenanigans, the market decides to take them seriously, and it gaps and keeps going. Sensex breaks down toward my put wing and the position goes from +₹843 to red fast.

My stop was ₹1,000. The position went through ₹1,000 and I did not get out. By the time I actually got the exit through, I was down ₹2,400.

The reason is unglamorous: technical issues. The terminal, the order, the moment — some combination of it did not work when I needed it to, and I was watching the loss widen while trying to get a leg-by-leg exit filled on four strikes in a fast market.

Here is the thing I cannot hide behind, though. The stop was never in the market. It was a number in a blog post and a number in my head. I had decided that ₹1,000 was my exit and then trusted myself to be present, connected, and unhurried enough to execute it manually in exactly the conditions where being present, connected and unhurried is hardest. That is not a stop-loss. That is a hope with a decimal point.

A stop that requires me to be functional during a crash is not a stop. It is a plan to have a stop.

Post-mortem

What the system got right:

What I got wrong:

What I am not going to pretend:

I did not get unlucky. A short-premium strategy will meet days where a man with a phone moves an index he has never heard of — that is not a tail risk, it is a scheduled feature of the strategy. The condor is designed to lose on days like this. The design assumed it would lose ₹1,000.

The ramblings are not the problem. The ramblings are the environment. The missing stop was the problem.

Changes, effective immediately

  1. Stop-loss orders go into the market at deployment, not into my notes. Bracket / GTT on the basket, sized to the ₹1,000 figure the payoff graph gives me on Monday morning.
  2. Exit as one basket, not four legs. If my broker cannot do that reliably, that is a broker problem I need to solve before next Monday, not during next Wednesday.
  3. Log the stop level in the trade record before entry. If it is not written down at 09:45 on Monday, the trade does not go on.

Result: −₹2,400.

The system is one week old and has already told me the most useful thing it was ever going to tell me. That is worth ₹2,400, if I actually act on it.


Disclaimer

This is a personal trading journal. It is a record of my own trades, my own money and my own mistakes — nothing more.

Nothing here is a trade recommendation, a tip, a call, or advice of any kind. I am not a registered adviser and I am not qualified to tell anyone what to do with their capital. The strikes, premiums, entries and exits above are what I did, not what you should do.

If you read this blog and place a trade because of it, that trade is yours. I accept no responsibility for anyone else's losses. Do your own research, size for your own risk, and understand that options can lose you more, faster, than you expect.